Monday, April 4, 2016

Cops: Rural Romania

Subtitle: Why it is important to learn at least the basics of the language of any country you might be visiting...

So. There I was. Sunday morning in my hotel room.

Friday night had been a doozy, extending well into Saturday morning thanks to a vibrant local music scene and cheap beer prices in Bucharest.

Saturday had, therefore, been a waste. A quick jaunt into Old City to grab some lunch and then again for dinner but nothing that really required me to stray too far from the comfortable cool and darkness of the hotel.

As I lay in my bed, I said to my self, "Self. We can't do that again. We must venture into the unknown and see something we haven't seen before."

(Note to self. Don't always listen to self. Or do, just try to plan better. Self can be a bit....twitchy...from time to time.)

So, I pull up trusty ol' Google and type in "Day trips from Bucharest".

Immediately, I am hit with all these ads from tour companies talking about Peles and Bran Castles. Now, Peles castle, I've never heard of, but Bran Castle...That's probably the first or second on the list of non-UK castles that Americans associate with Europe. AND. AND! It's only 2 hours away by combo of train (50LEI / $16USD) and cheap taxi. (80LEI / $26USD).

I once again say to my self, "Self. If we don't go there, certain groups of our friends are likely to stake us in the heart and throw us into the sunlight." Both of which are things I have a love / hate relationship with, at best, so after checking with the guide that I would have plenty of time to get there, see the sights, and make it back to Bucharest in time to get some sleep before work. I rolled out.

First up was the Bucharesti Metro system. Well laid out, easy to navigate, cheap. Highly recommend. In less than 10 minutes from stepping foot on the train 100m or so in front of my hotel, I was at the main station.

Bucharesti Gara Nord 2 is about what you would expect from a large European city's train station. The lines at the agent windows were long, even early on a Sunday morning, so I decided to use the automated kiosk. It was a major confidence booster for me, and proof of good user interface design from them, that even though there was no English language option (or at least not one that I could see) I was able to get my ticket to Brasov with return in time to grab a quick bite to eat and get on the train.

The train ride from Bucharest to Brasov is beautiful, especially once you start heading up into Carpathian mountains. Winding through picturesque mountain towns and following a river that was absolutely destroyed by someone trying to re-route or tame it. Very enjoyable. For those of you in or from Upstate SC that may be reading this, it was very similar to the drive between Oconee County and Chattanooga, TN. Just imagine MUCH higher, snow covered peaks in the distance and the Ocoee or Chattooga reduced to a stream in a concrete culvert.

And then the conductor comes to check my ticket. I'm in the wrong car on the train. No worries, though, the train is well under capacity, and I was in the right class car, so I was allowed to stay where I was. Which I do, because my correct car was at the other end of the train, and I was already 2.5 hours into a 2 hour trip.

Looking back, this last bit should have been my first clue that the travel guide I had been looking at was ma-a-a-aybe not 100% accurate... But I digress.

Pull into the station at Brasov, go looking for the taxi stand. It's rather easy to find as there are two fairly large Romanian taxi drivers in the process of trying to convince an American couple to ride with them. Their chosen method of said convincing is histrionics at half a pace. The argument gets loud at the cab drivers debate over who was first in the queue, whether that even matters, who saw the couple first, who has the cheaper fare, etc. Luckily, for everyone involved, the debate is ended when the couple decides to just go with a third driver entirely. I step back for a minute, not sure I want to even get in a cab with a driver who may or may not be angry at Americans, and who I would be at the mercy of, should he decide to take the anger out on me.

But I say to myself, "Self, what's life without a little adventure. You didn't come all this way to stop now. Get in the first cab in the queue and go for it."

So I did. And it turned out to be a very pleasant, if somewhat fast paced, ride to Bran. The driver was very friendly, very knowledgeable about the area, and very quick to offer me any side trips I wanted. I politely declined the side trips, as I knew I really only had time for one town / castle that day. So I rode, soaking up the mountain scenery, listening to the driver tell me about the mountains I was scene-ing.

And we make it to Bran. I asked for the fare price and am told 140LEI ($46USD). This was on the meter, so he wasn't trying to pull a fast one on me, but it was considerably higher than what I had been told in the guide.

Looking back, this is strike 2 for the guide.

At the time though, I thought to my self, "Self. This is a bit more than we expected. But...it was a nice ride, the driver was friendly...who cares..." So I pay the fare without complaining and even throw in an extra 10LEI tip.

Bran Castle itself is amazing. It is easy to imagine it as it must have been Stoker's day and see how it is thought to have provided the inspiration for one of the most famous locations in literature. The abutment that it is on is not quite as intimidating as it once was, what with the souvenir stand village that has grown up around it, and the wall being demolished, but in my mind's eye, that stuff was able to disappear, and I was able to see it for what it once was. A fortress guarding a customs house that stood at an important border crossing.

The tour of the castle was reasonably priced, 35LEI, plus an extra 10LEI for the torture chamber, if you are into that sort of thing. (I am.) Side note, and I didn't notice this until after the tour, but the torture chamber is only open to visitors ages 16 and up, didn't matter for me this trip, but those of you with kids that may want to visit, keep it in mind.  The tour itself focuses mostly on the last of the royal family to live there, their daily lives and routines, and their exile at the rise of Communism at the end of WWII. The castle was returned to the family's living heirs after Communism fell, with them taking over fully only in 2009. The rooms in the tour on Tepes and Dracula are minimalist, and are quick to point that there is very little evidence that Tepes ever spent any large amounts of time at the castle. They also point out that, as far as rulers from that time period go, he wasn't all that bad, though he did have a penchant for getting all poky with large sticks. The write up on local folklore that fed into the vampire myths and legends was very well done and worth the read.

The tour, even with the torture chamber, was a bit shorter than I thought, so I saw no need to return to Brasov immediately and spent some time walking around Bran. Walked down by the customs house the castle was built to protect, saw what's left of the wall that used to block the pass. Very neat.

After a quick snack at a restaurant just off the tourist trail (~10% cheaper than the ones right at the castle, for the same food) I decided to head back to Brasov, and get back to Bucharest. By my estimation, I would have time to get all my pictures processed and maybe even posted up where people could ooh and ahh at them.

But, having already spent a little more than I had planned on the taxi ride over, and buying a couple of souvenirs, I say to my self, "Self, didn't that guide mention something about a well-appointed, modern bus? With air-conditioning and comfortable seats? Didn't it also mention that it ran every half-hour? How about we find that?" I walked around for a while trying to find something, anything that looked like a bus stop. Nothing. Not a sign, a schedule, a group of waiting people, nothing. I do, however, see a policeman patrolling the souvenir area. I ask and he points me to this little place with a sign for "Fast Food". I walk back down there, look on the back side of a post, and there, finally is the schedule for the bus I just missed...

That's alright. The next one should be along in thirty...oh wait..an hour. Crud. There went time to process and post the pictures. No worries though. I step back up the street for a coffee and a pastry and to wait.

After about 45 minutes, I walk back down to the bus stop, only to find it completely jammed. Like people standing out in the road waiting, jammed. Quick head count and estimation puts the crowd at around 50. No worries. Easy for a bus to handle, it just looks like a lot because of the small area they are all trying to stand in. So the bus pulls up, and it is already at about half capacity. The crowd, not at all deterred by this, starts pushing and shoving to fill every crevice and cranny with people.

Now look, I've been doing this travel thing for a few years now, and thus far, I have managed to get by with out any major loss of property or dignity. Mainly by avoiding, whenever possible, small, tightly packed spaces that I don't feel comfortable with. Something about this particular bus struck me as "off". And, realizing that I still had plenty of time to make the train in Braslov, I decided to wait for the next one.

Beer and an amazing "Sausage with cabbage salad on a bun" this time (Side note, if I ever make good on my threat to open a hot dog stand, that is how I am advertising my slaw dogs)

The next bus isn't "quite" as crowded, but I do wind up sharing a stair well with 2 other people for the next 45 minutes.

Up until this point, the day has been going fairly well. I've had a couple of minor misunderstandings with a travel guide, most of which went completely unnoticed at the time. Nothing major. Nothing worth a write-up, for sure.

Here is where it goes bad. Here is where the story begins.

I make it back to the train station at Brasov, only to find that I just missed the train I was aiming for back to Bucharest. I know there are a couple more trains that will be going in my direction, but I am unsure of their schedule, and if my return ticket will be good for them. So I walk up to the agent window, and attempt to explain my situation. The lady asks for my return ticket, so I show it to her.

Turns out it isn't a return ticket. It's another ticket for Bucharest to Brasov. Apparently I didn't navigate that kiosk quite as well as I thought I had.

Not a problem. Laugh about being a silly American who doesn't know how to train. Buy a ticket to Bucharest.

I find the correct track, as listed on the ticket and on the schedule board, buy a water, pull out a book, sit down, and wait.

After what seems like a long time, I look at my watch and see that it is 20 minutes past the time that the train was supposed to have arrived. There have been no trains on my track, and no mentions of "Bucharesti" over the loudspeaker. The agent I spoke with earlier is gone, and the ones that are working the station now have one word of English when I show them my ticket.

"Wait"

Ok. I'll wait. Getting a bit concerned now, though. It is well into the evening, around 8pm, and I know that it is a 2.5-3hr ride back. But, I'll wait.

So. I wait. And then I wait a little more. A few trains come and go, but each time I ask, I am told that it isn't the train I am looking for.

Finally, I get word from one of the conductors that I asked that the train to Bucharest will be the next one on the track.

It's almost 9:30 now, but I figure I am still good, messing with my scheduled sleep a little bit, but I can make that up on the train.

Train pulls in, and I hear in the announcement, "Bucharesti". This, combined with the word I had gotten from the conductor earlier, is enough for me to believe this is my train. Finally. Get in, find a seat and get situated for the ride.

As the train pulls out though, I notice that it isn't going in what I think is the correct direction. But, I've seen this before, there is a circle track around the city that will turn the train around. Right?

Wrong.

Luckily, (? Can I even use that word at this point. My luck on this trip ran out at finding the cheap restaurant with good food in a tourist town) the conductor comes around fairly early in the trip to check my ticket and let me know that I am, in fact, on the wrong train.

This train came FROM Bucharest. It isn't going back there for some time.

Well, I had missed the first stop and opportunity to turn myself around, but the conductor says there is another stop coming up in about an hour in Fagaras. So. I am going to be about an hour and a half in the wrong direction of where I am trying to get to. The conductor pulls out his schedule guide and finds that there is a return to Brasov that night that will get me back in time to just catch the last train to Bucharest. Seriously, there is about a 4 minute gap between the train from Fagaras arriving and the train for Bucharest leaving. Rock n' Roll.

Oh, how I wish this story was over.

So, I get off the train at Fagaras, where I am told to expect the train to Brasov in about 10 minutes.

This place is in the middle of nowhere. I mean, I grew up on the other end of nowhere. I know what it looks like, and this is it. This is the type of place where, in all the movies, bad things happen to people traveling alone. But, movies are movies, and I have found that, for the most part, if you aren't doing wrong things, wrong things don't happen to you. So, I wait.

10 minutes, no train. Crud.

20 minutes, no train. Crap.

30 minutes, no train. {expletive}

At this point, I know there is no chance of me making it back to Bucharest on a train. I am more concerned about making it back to Brasov, where at least I have other options or a place to stay if no other options are available. Here there is nothing. Nothing.

Then I see the 4 Police Officers. These are not the nice, street patrol officers I have been seeing all over. No. These are Police Officers. They are there to speak with someone. That someone is not going to like what they have to say. I am really hoping that someone is not me.

I have been places where the police will hassle a person traveling by themselves, whether to shake them down for fines/bribes or just because they don't particularly like foreigners. I don't know if these are that type of police officer or not, but I am definitely NOT from around those parts, and they do keep looking over my way. I just try to sit where I am and not make any "suspicious" movements.

Then I notice something else. One of them is holding a video recorder, and it is pointed, not directly at me, but roughly in my direction. More out at the tracks. This greatly reduces my anxiety level, but peaks my curiosity.

The police start walking in my direction and motioning for everyone waiting at the station to move away from the tracks. I move with the rest of the people, and the cops don't even look in my direction.

Ok, so it's not me they wish to speak with. That's a relief. But now the question is: Who DO they want to speak with?

A train pulls in, and as it does, I realize that it is the first train to come through the station since I got there. I have a theory on that. I'll get to it in a minute.

As the people get off, I notice the cops scanning the crowd. The cops and I notice, at the same time, the person who is trying to avoid their gaze, and sort of trying to get past them.

Guess who they want to talk to.

It goes down rather quickly, with the cops surrounding the person, taking his bag, quick pat down, and an obvious, "You're coming with us." The one with the recorder hangs back from the action, capturing everything. Then they are gone.

About 5 minutes later, the train I was waiting on pulls in, I board, buy my ticket, and start back towards Brasov.

Here what I THINK happened. I have no proof of this, it is 100% theory, but it is the story I made up to fit the events:

The police learned, somehow, of this person who is trafficking *something* who will be getting off the train at Fagaras. It was the last stop for that train, so they knew that even if the guy saw them, he would still have to get off. To prevent confusion / keep other people from getting in the way, they stopped traffic into and out of the station, except for this one train. I don't know if I'm right, but it fits.

So, back to my night. I'm back in Brasov. The station is closed, the departure board tells me that the next train to Bucharest is at 0315 in the morning. This is definitely NOT an option for me.

I think for a minute, then remember the cabbies who were in a bidding war with couple earlier. I pull out some LEI from the ATM, and walk over to the taxi stand and ask, "How much to Bucharest?"

After a short discussion with two different cabbies, I settle with one of them for a price of 350LEI($105USD) for the 170km trip.

Now, I had forgotten one "minor" detail. Remember the mountains? They weren't that big of a deal on the train. Steep grades and sharp turns aren't a factor. Trains go through, not around and over. Cars, and more importantly, trucks (of the large, slow, trailer pulling type) don't have this option. Guess what time of day (night) a lot of trucks decide to cross the mountains? So, a trip that is rated at 2h40mins on Google maps took almost 4hrs.

The cabbie was great though. Older man with broken, but understandable English (FAR better than my Romanian, the lack of which led to this whole scenario). Given to long silences while driving, broken up by cussing in three languages that I could make out at "Stupid truck drivers" and "Governments who can't build roads", and talking about his wife and kids. When we made it to Bucharest, he admitted he wasn't familiar with the city, but between his and my memories, we managed to find the hotel. At almost 4am. On a Monday morning.

I tipped the cabbie an extra 50LEI for the extended drive time, and was finally able to call it a day.

I made it to work on time, exhausted but functional, and I got another good story to tell. Not bad.

Monday, June 22, 2015

Heritage as Hate

Today we are going to take a break from statistics and talk about history.

For those of you who don't know, I am from South Carolina. Unfortunately, my state has once again found itself in the spotlight, and as any Southerner knows, spotlights draw out the bugs. Well, a couple of those bugs have bit me in sensitive areas, so now I gotta scratch:

"The Confederate Battle Flag is about Heritage not Hate!"

Except the heritage IS hate. Absolutely NOTHING about the CSA, the Army of Northern Virginia, or any other aspect of that flag's abominable history is about anything other than hate. I honestly don't know if any of my ancestors died in that war, because I have always been too embarrassed and afraid to ask. I don't know how I would deal with that black mark on my family's name.

Is there anyone today who would say that the descendants of SS troops, concentration camp guards, the "Young Turks" of the 1920's, or any other government group that was actively enslaving and killing human beings based on their race should be "proud" of that part of their heritage? Or should they rightly condemn that heritage, acknowledge it for the evil that it was, admit that their ancestors died defending evil, and work towards ensuring that racist, genocidal evil is never allowed to take root in their homelands again?

The only legitimate place for the symbols of hatred are in museum displays that fully articulate that what the symbol stands for was wrong. Tell why it was wrong, tell why it was allowed to happen, and explain why we can not condone the actions, the symbols of the actors, and the ideology behind the symbols themselves.

"The Civil War was about States Rights, not Slavery!"

Umm..ok...partial credit on this one. The Civil War was indeed about States' Rights. However, the only rights that any of the Southern States cared about were the rights to keep slaves and the right to pursue fugitive slaves into states that did not allow for slavery.

South Carolina Declaration of Causes of Secession 

The link above goes to the entire document that was drafted and approved by the SC Convention on Secession in April, 1860.

Here are some choice quotes for you:

"
...all the States north of that line have united in the election of a man to the high office of President of the United States whose opinions and purposes are hostile to slavery. "

 "This sectional combination for the subversion of the Constitution, has been aided in some of the States by elevating to citizenship, persons, who, by the Supreme Law of the land, are incapable of becoming citizens; and their votes have been used to inaugurate a new policy, hostile to the South, and destructive of its peace and safety."

"The Guaranties of the Constitution will then no longer exist; the equal rights of the States will be lost. The slaveholding States will no longer have the power of self-government, or self-protection, and the Federal Government will have become their enemy."



No where in that document does it mention any other "right". It repeatedly decries the efforts of those in the Free States to increase the freedoms held by free blacks to include the rights to vote and own property.


This is the real history of that flag. This is the real reason for the Civil War. Why are so many Southerners struggling to hold onto a past that never was? Scarlet O'Hara was never real. There were no good slave owners. The African-Americans who served the Confederate Army were almost all slave laborers, or camp aides for their masters.

"Way down yonder in the Land of Cotton, Lord how times have changed,
But I wonder if the truth is marching on.

It's hard to be a Southern man and learn your history,
Cause it comes back and hits you close to home."
- Corey Smith "Goodbye Dixie"
It is time, way past time, really, that we admit what happened 150 years ago in America. It's time we admit that symbols have meanings, otherwise they wouldn't be symbols. It's time to go to work and change what the perception of being "Southern" means.

It's time to take that flag down.

Sunday, June 21, 2015

Ignorance is No Excuse for a Law

(h/t Tam for the title of this post)


At first I didn't want to make this post. I have railed many times against using atrocities to further agendas and feel like by answering those that would, I give credence to their tactics.

However, there has been much talk of the "rise" in violent crime in this country as well as the tools and means of committing those crimes, so I thought it was a good idea to go back to the facts.

Table 7 - Violent Crime Offense Analysis
(I have edited this table from its original to remove sub-classifications of offense. The break-down of the data was not relevant, as I am focusing on total offenses.)

Contrary to what we are being told, ALL forms of violent crime in this country are on the decline, not the rise.


Table 7




Offense Analysis




United States, 2009–2013




Classification 2009 2010 2011 20121 2013
Murder 15,399 14,722 14,661 14,856 14,196
Rape (revised definition)2



108,612
Rape (legacy definition)3 89,241 85,593 84,175 85,141 79,770
Robbery: 408,742 369,089 354,746 355,051 345,031
Burglary: 2,203,313 2,168,459 2,185,140 2,109,932 1,928,465
Larceny-theft (except motor vehicle theft): 6,338,095 6,204,601 6,151,095 6,168,874 6,004,453
Motor vehicle theft 795,652 739,565 716,508 723,186 699,594


Table 8 - Expanded Homicide Data

No real surprise here. Firearms are the most used weapon during the commission of a homicide. However, it is worth noting that, similar to overall violent crime, the use of firearms to commit homicide is on the decline.


Expanded Homicide Data Table 8




Murder Victims




by Weapon, 2009–2013




Weapons 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Total 13,752 13,164 12,795 12,888 12,253
Total firearms: 9,199 8,874 8,653 8,897 8,454
Handguns 6,501 6,115 6,251 6,404 5,782
Rifles 351 367 332 298 285
Shotguns 423 366 362 310 308
Other guns 96 93 97 116 123
Firearms, type not stated 1,828 1,933 1,611 1,769 1,956
Knives or cutting instruments 1,836 1,732 1,716 1,604 1,490
Blunt objects (clubs, hammers, etc.) 623 549 502 522 428
Personal weapons (hands, fists, feet, etc.)1 817 769 751 707 687
Poison 7 11 5 13 11
Explosives 2 4 6 8 2
Fire 98 78 76 87 94
Narcotics 52 45 33 38 53
Drowning 8 10 15 14 4
Strangulation 122 122 88 90 85
Asphyxiation 84 98 92 106 95
Other weapons or weapons not stated 904 872 858 802 850

So, since firearms are the most used weapon in homicide, stricter gun laws must be the answer, right?

From BradyCampaign.org, the states with the strictest gun laws are (From most strict, to most loose):

  1.     CALIFORNIA
  2.     CONNECTICUT
  3.     NEW JERSEY
  4.     MARYLAND
  5.     NEW YORK
  6.     MASSACHUSETTS
  7.     HAWAII
  8.     ILLINOIS
  9.     RHODE ISLAND
  10.     DELAWARE

The states with the loosest gun laws are (from most loose to most strict):

  1.     ARIZONA
  2.     ALASKA
  3.     WYOMING
  4.     SOUTH DAKOTA
  5.     VERMONT
  6.     MISSISSIPPI
  7.     KANSAS
  8.     KENTUCKY
  9.     MONTANA
  10.     UTAH
Now, let's take a look at Homicide data by state:

Table 20 - Murder by State, Types of Weapons, 2013
(I have edited the following tables to show only the states that I am focusing on and to add simple calculations on the data. The link above is to the original table for verification.)


Most Strict 10

Total homicides: 3906, Total with Firearm as the weapon: 2704, Percentage of homicide with weapon: 69.23%


Table 20








Murder








by State, Types of Weapons, 2013








State Total
murders1
Total
firearms
Handguns Rifles Shotguns Firearms
(type
unknown)
Knives or
cutting
instruments
Other
weapons
Hands, fists,
feet, etc.2
California 1,745 1,224 805 29 48 342 238 191 92
Connecticut 86 60 34 0 0 26 12 5 9
Delaware 39 33 22 1 0 10 4 2 0
Hawaii 9 6 1 2 2 1 2 1 0
Illinois3 433 364 352 3 2 7 41 19 9
Maryland 379 268 263 0 4 1 57 29 25
Massachusetts 135 78 35 2 0 41 25 25 7
New Jersey 401 291 229 0 2 60 53 37 20
New York 648 362 290 4 19 49 136 113 37
Rhode Island 31 18 3 0 1 14 5 6 2










Totals 3906 2704 69.23%







Least Strict 10

Total homicides: 857, Total with Firearm as the weapon: 552, Percentage of homicide with weapon: 64.41%


Table 20








Murder








by State, Types of Weapons, 2013








State Total
murders1
Total
firearms
Handguns Rifles Shotguns Firearms
(type
unknown)
Knives or
cutting
instruments
Other
weapons
Hands, fists,
feet, etc.2
Alaska 34 12 5 3 1 3 5 13 4
Arizona 304 184 133 11 11 29 56 55 9
Kansas 112 78 39 9 5 25 8 16 10
Kentucky 165 111 82 10 6 13 23 22 9
Mississippi 142 110 80 3 8 19 9 14 9
Montana 15 9 5 0 1 3 3 2 1
South Dakota 12 3 0 0 1 2 1 4 4
Utah 49 31 25 2 1 3 6 7 5
Vermont 9 5 1 2 1 1 0 1 3
Wyoming 15 9 6 3 0 0 2 4 0











857 552 64.41%







Now the first thing I noticed was the fact that the overall number of homicides in the less strict states is much, much lower that the number of homicides in the more strict states.

AHA!! Less strict gun laws = Less murder!!!

Umm...no. That's not the way this works. The states with the most strict gun laws also happen to be the most dense in population. More people = more criminals = more murder. No big surprise there.

The surprise, for me, was the percentage of murders that were committed with firearms. The states with the more strict gun laws was ~5%  higher for murders committed with firearms than the states with the less strict gun laws. The conclusion I draw from that is that gun laws have either no bearing or a negative bearing on the amount of murders committed with firearms.

Again, the "narrative" is that violent gun crime is on the rise in this country and the only thing that will fix it is stricter gun laws. The numbers do NOT support this. If anything, they show the exact opposite. Crime is down, and "stricter gun laws", as defined by the most anti-gun group in our country, appear to have no effect on the percentage of murders committed with guns.

Friday, June 19, 2015

Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics

First of all, let me say this:

It took a lot to get me back to blogging. I normally keep my opinions to myself and a select few friends who I can have intelligent conversations with, and who can debate with me without it going to personal attacks and / or name calling. I don't know how long I will keep posting, what my content will be, or even what I am trying to accomplish (if anything). 

Now, on to the show.


In the last few months we, as a nation, have been bombarded with commentaries, editorials, and news stories about the relationship between law, violence, and race in this country. We have been presented with graphics, statistics, and think tank outputs that were designed to further one agenda or another.

Here is the raw data from the FBI Uniform Crime reports in 2013 (Last year that data is available for)



Table 43 - Arrests by Race 2013

From this table it is clear that those criminals identified as white lead the number of arrests in all categories except for two: Robbery and Murder/Non-negligent Homicide. Whites lead the number of total arrests with 68.9% of total arrests for all violations, with Black or African American at 28.2% of total arrests.


Table 43A





Arrests





by Race, 2013





[11,951 agencies; 2013 estimated population 245,741,701]





Offense charged Total arrests
Race
Total White Black or
African
American
American
Indian or
Alaska
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
TOTAL 9,014,635 6,214,197 2,549,655 140,290 105,109 5,384
Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter 8,383 3,799 4,379 98 101 6
Rape3 13,515 8,946 4,229 160 173 7
Robbery 78,538 32,945 44,271 579 649 94
Aggravated assault 291,031 183,092 98,748 4,356 4,423 412
Burglary 203,089 136,990 61,709 1,966 2,196 228
Larceny-theft 990,936 677,173 284,358 16,402 12,605 398
Motor vehicle theft 52,307 34,864 15,960 685 725 73
Arson 8,364 6,198 1,925 130 107 4
Violent crime4 391,467 228,782 151,627 5,193 5,346 519
Property crime4 1,254,696 855,225 363,952 19,183 15,633 703
Other assaults 881,086 573,546 283,357 14,041 9,717 425
Forgery and counterfeiting 48,581 31,208 16,375 288 677 33
Fraud 112,920 74,682 35,958 1,145 1,094 41
Embezzlement 12,574 7,882 4,386 87 207 12
Stolen property; buying, receiving, possessing 74,541 50,237 22,687 684 862 71
Vandalism 161,078 113,842 42,566 2,951 1,638 81
Weapons; carrying, possessing, etc. 112,228 65,317 44,671 888 1,251 101
Prostitution and commercialized vice 41,946 22,666 17,378 386 1,492 24
Sex offenses (except rape and prostitution) 46,553 33,695 11,462 622 744 30
Drug abuse violations 1,204,162 815,181 365,785 9,408 12,930 858
Gambling 5,055 1,433 3,362 27 226 7
Offenses against the family and children 78,465 51,017 25,519 1,414 511 4
Driving under the influence 910,470 766,440 113,928 12,575 16,831 696
Liquor laws 277,444 222,201 40,665 10,861 3,672 45
Drunkenness 356,427 288,146 56,885 7,399 3,550 447
Disorderly conduct 372,202 231,604 129,782 7,982 2,775 59
Vagrancy 21,354 13,732 6,802 581 222 17
All other offenses (except traffic) 2,602,939 1,741,855 790,854 43,953 25,090 1,187
Suspicion 825 499 303 12 11 0
Curfew and loitering law violations 47,622 25,007 21,351 610 630 24


Table 6 - Expanded Homicide Data Murder

This table shows that murder is largely divided along racial and gender lines. 83.4% of Whites murdered were murdered by Whites, 90.1% of Blacks or African Americans were murdered by Blacks or African Americans.

When a White Offender killed a White victim, 94.2% of the time, the offender was male. When a Black Offender killed a Black Victim, 98.7% of the time the offender was male.


Expanded Homicide Data Table 6







Murder







Race, Ethnicity, and Sex of Victim by Race, Ethnicity, and Sex of Offender, 2013







[Single victim/single offender]







Race of victim Total Race of offender Sex of offender
White Black or
African
American
Other1 Unknown Male Female Unknown
White 3,005 2,509 409 49 38 2,661 306 38
Black or African American 2,491 189 2,245 20 37 2,217 237 37
Other race2 159 32 27 96 4 142 13 4
Unknown race 68 25 17 3 23 38 7 23

Whew. That was a lot of data. So, what does this mean?

Well...to me it shows that at least two of the narratives being pushed on News Media are flawed.

At the Law ENFORCEMENT level, there are far more arrests of White criminals than there are of Black/African American criminals. An analysis of the Judicial level (arrest to conviction, severity of sentence upon conviction, etc.) is outside the scope of this post, and bears looking into at a later date. We have been told that officers are more likely to arrest minorities, but the data does not bear this out.

We have also been told White on Black homicide (and from some sources, vice versa) is a larger issue than inter-racial homicide. This is also glaringly false. In an overwhelming number of cases, we have males of the same race killing each other.

I am not posting this to further any agenda other than the interpretation of raw data vs. force fed statistics. I have not done any reformatting, additions, or subtractions to the actual tables from the FBI, and have only done simple math to arrive at my percentages. The links above each table go to the full tables on FBI.gov, and you are welcome to check my math.

I truly believe that we can not move ahead in this country until we get back to an informed public. The person responsible for the quote in the title of this post also famously said:

“If you don't read the newspaper, you're uninformed. If you read the newspaper, you're mis-informed.”

 I am of the opinion that this holds double weight in an age of 24-hr news channels, social media, and echo chamber think tanks. Check the facts for yourself. When presented with a chopped-up, over-processed graphic, find out where it came from. Find out WHY they made that graphic or offered a percentage without giving the numbers they started with. Find out who is funding them. Do your own research before you jump into an argument that has implications you don't fully understand.

Before you like, share, retweet, +1, thumbs up, or give gold, make sure you understand what agenda you are furthering.